Brazil World Cup: Brazil v Germany Prediction

By on July 8, 2014

Host nation Brazil will face Germany in the first semi final of this year’s World Cup for a berth in the final. The two sides have only met once in the World Cup before, back in 2002, when the final was played between the two giants as the Selecao came out on top with a 2-0 win to lift the trophy.

It’s the third World Cup semi final appearance for both coaches as Luiz Felipe Scolari led Brazil to glory back in 2002 and took Portugal to the semi finals in 2006 while Joachim Low assisted Jurgen Klinsmann back in 2006 where they lost against Italy and was the head coach in 2010 when thy lost out to eventual World Cup winners Spain.

Brazil have been excellent in the tournament so far and although their performance have not been as catching to the eye as one would expect from the Brazilian team but they have managed to grind out results in some very tough games. They faced Colombia in the quarter finals and were tested to the limit in that game. They opened the scoring early on through a Thiago Silva header. The game was still on at half time as only one goal separated the two sides. Another defender stepped up in the 2nd half to give Brazil a two goal lead. Brazil were awarded a freekick from a fair distance which PSG’s new center back David Luiz slotted home to hand Brazil a two goal advantage. The lead did not last for long however, as Colombia were handed a penalty a few minutes later when Sevilla’s Carlos Bacca was brought down by Julio Cesar in the penalty box. Colombia’s star of the World Cup James Rodriguez stepped up to find the back of the net and hand Colombia a lifeline. However, the Colombians failed to find an equalizer in time and Brazil managed to scrape through. But Brazil did suffer a loss of a different sort in that game.

Barcelona forward Neymar suffered a horrific injury in that game after a collision with Colombian defender Jose Zuniga and the 22 year old had to be stretchered off the pitch. While initial reports suggested that it was a minor injury, reports from the next day confirmed that Neymar had fractured his L3 vertebra and would not be able to play any further part in the tournament. It is a huge blow for Scolari’s side as Neymar has been their best player in this tournament. On Sunday, however, reports emerged in Brazil suggesting that Neymar could make a return to the side should Brazil manage to beat Germany and book a place in the final. Although the prospects are very low, it might be enough to give the players motivation to take their performance to the next level in this game. In Neymar’s absence, Chelsea forward Willian is the favorite to start for Brazil in this game.

Brazil’s captain and star defender Thiago Silva was just one booking away from a suspension, in the game against Colombia which he couldn’t avoid as that game went on. Thiago Silva was shown a yellow card for a tackle on the Colombian goalkeeper and will be suspended for this game which will be a huge miss for Scolari’s side. Brazil made an appeal for the yellow card to be overturned, however, it was denied and it is now confirm that Thiago Silva  will sit this game out. Bayern Munich defender Dante Bonfim Costa is expected to feature in his place.

Germany have been another very efficient side in this tournament having grounded out results even on the off day. They have dominated most of their games but their problem lies in the finishing department with the players missing some very good chances to finish off games at times. They played France in the quarter finals and although it was a very tough game for both sides with chances coming rarely, Germany managed to come out on top. The game started off with a good tempo as both sides created half chances in the early minutes. Another defender came to his team’s resuce in the quarter finals as Mats Hummels opened the scoring in the 1st half from a Toni Kroos freekick. The Borussia Dortmund defender left his marker for dead to finish off a well worked set piece. Germany maintained the lead when the half time whistle blew and the 2nd half was no different from the 1st in terms of the scoreline. Germany did get some good chances later on in the 2nd half to put the game to bed but Chelsea forward Andre Schurrle missed two open chances to ensure a nervy end to the game. At the end of the day, what matters is getting results however, Joachim Low will have to work on his players finishing and decision making in the final third if they are to get past this Brazilian side as chances will come few and far for both sides.

Germany opted to play with the 4-3-3 formation for most of their games leading up to the quarter final, however, Joachim Low decided to shift back to the more traditional 4-2-3-1 formation in the game against France. That setup offered his side much more defensive cover and he might opt for the same formation in this game. The presence of a real #9 in Mirolsav Klose offered his side another avenue in attack and allowed Mesut Ozil to go back to his traditional position behind the striker.

Mats Hummels made an emphatic return to the side after missing the round of 16 clash, to score the only goal and the eventual game winner against France. His return to the side comes at the perfect time as Shkodran Mustafi is out for the remainder of the tournament and Per Mertesacker is suffering from an illness.

Brazil have some players missing for this game as Neymar is suspected to be out for the remainder of the tournament with a vertebral fracture. Willian is the favorite to start in his place but Luiz Felipe Scolari might opt to start with Ramires on the right flank to add some more depth to the midfield. Captain Thiago Silva will also miss out on this game as he is suspended and Dante is expected to feature in his place. Dani Alves might make a return to the starting XI after losing out on his position to Roma defender Maicon in the last game. Brazil will however, be boosted by the return of Luiz Gustavo who was suspended for the last game. He will regain his spot in the starting XI in place of Paulinho.

Germany have only one injury worry ahead of the game as Shkodran Mustafi is out for the rest of the World Cup. Per Mertesacker is suffering from an illness and he will likely start on the bench so Mats Hummels and Jerome Boateng are expected to start in the center of defence with Philipe Lahm shifting back to his traditional right back position. Miroslav Klose is again expected to start this game with Thomas Muller shifting to the left and Mesut Ozil playing on the right. Toni Kroos will play in the #10 spot.

DATE: July 8, 2014


VENUE: Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais

REFEREE: M. Rodriguez

Brazil (4-2-3-1):- Cesar; Marcelo, Luiz, Dante, Alves; Gustavo, Fernandinho; Willian, Oscar, Hulk; Fred
Germany (4-2-3-1):- Neuer; Howedes, Hummels, Boateng, Lahm; Schweinsteiger, Khedira; Muller, Kroos, Ozil; Klose

Brazil:- 2-1 vs Colombia
Germany:- 1-0 vs France

AUTHOR’s PREDICTION: Brazil 1-2 Germany

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